Ph.D. Statistics · Virginia Tech · Jean P. Gibbons Fellow

Hi, I’m Jacob, a statistician building Bayesian models for complex biological and social data.

I develop Bayesian and graph-based methods for spatial, compositional, and count data — and put them to work on real problems in ecology, public health, and social science.

Selected Core Research 03
Spatial Bayesian Methodology

Bayesian Spatial Partitioning

Developing a graph-based partition model for count data using spanning forests, local split-merge-refinement moves, and Matrix Tree Theorem priors to identify connected regions with distinct data-generating processes.

Explore the method →
Robust Inference · Anti-Trafficking

Robust Bayesian Methods for Quasi-Sparse Counts

Studying human trafficking counts as a quasi-sparse modeling problem, with emphasis on testing robust Bayesian approaches such as the Rescaled Beta and Gauss Hypergeometric frameworks against standard count models.

Read the study →
Compositional Data · Microbiome

Compositional Data Analysis

Building a CoDA research program spanning a Statistical Science literature review and applied microbiome papers, including published work in PLOS ONE on bacterial community structure across riverine ecosystems.

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About & Approach

I’m a statistician and Ph.D. student in the Department of Statistics at Virginia Tech, where I hold the Jean P. Gibbons Fellowship. I earned my B.S. in Statistics at Winona State University, graduating as a Distinguished Graduate with minors in Data Science and Mathematics.

My work sits at the meeting point of methodology and application. I build Bayesian and graph-based models — spanning forests, robust priors, log-ratio geometry — but I’m most drawn to the messy, real-world data those methods are meant to serve: microbial communities in rivers, hard-to-count populations, and human behavior. I care about methods that stay honest under sparsity, dependence, and uncertainty.

Across academia, government, and industry, I’ve collaborated with biologists, law-enforcement partners, and data teams to turn statistical ideas into tools people can actually use — from bioindicators of watershed health to geospatial tools for anti-trafficking work.

Peer-Reviewed Publications 03
2024Published
Comparison of Yamuna (India) and Mississippi River (United States of America) bacterial communities reveals greater diversity below the Yamunotri Glacier
Martinez, O., Bergen, S. R., & Gareis, J. B.
PLOS ONE · 19(7): e0304664
View paper ↗
Published
2025Submitted
Bacterial community fingerprints as indicators of watershed land use
Gareis, J., Martinez, O., Bergen, S., Blumentritt, D., & Olsen, C.
Manuscript submitted for publication
Under review
2026Submitted
Personality Trait–Driven Vulnerabilities to Anxiety and Social Media Addiction in Adolescent Females
Cristadoro, K., Hooks, T., & Gareis, J.
Manuscript submitted for publication
Under review
Professional Timeline

A path through research, government, and industry — spanning Bayesian methodology, microbiome ecology, anti-trafficking work, and applied data science.

Graduate Researcher, Ph.D.
Virginia Tech · Department of Statistics
Aug 2025 – Present
  • Jean P. Gibbons Fellow developing Bayesian and graph-based methods for spatial and count data.
  • Researching spatial partition models built on spanning forests and Matrix Tree Theorem priors, and robust Bayesian methods for quasi-sparse counts.
Researcher
Winona State University · Biology Department
Sep 2023 – Present
  • Applied statistical and machine-learning techniques to identify environmental drivers of microbial community composition across riverine ecosystems.
  • Analyzed watershed land-use data to quantify how landscape patterns shape microbial community composition and function.
  • Identified key microbial taxa as bioindicators of water quality and ecosystem health.
Solutions Analyst
Fastenal
Aug 2024 – May 2025
  • Developed an LLM + ML pipeline to automatically fulfill data pulls from ticketing-system requests.
  • Built a stock–restock optimization algorithm to improve inventory management.
  • Wrote automation scripts to streamline routine data-pull processes.
Statistical Consultant
Semcac
Aug 2023 – Dec 2024
  • Surveyed community members across seven southwest Minnesota counties to assess local needs and priorities.
  • Evaluated the coverage and effectiveness of Semcac’s needs-based programs.
  • Developed a three-year community action plan to guide organizational strategy and resource allocation.
Summer Researcher
Southern Methodist University
Summer 2024
  • Built geospatial analysis software with satellite imagery and OpenStreetMap to refine search areas in agricultural labor trafficking, in collaboration with DHS and North Texas law enforcement.
  • Shared the software with researchers and law enforcement at SMU and the University of Houston.
  • Conducted a literature review and data analysis on push and pull factors influencing international trafficking.
Data Analyst Intern
Marine Credit Union
Jan 2024 – Jun 2024
  • Created a real-time next-best-action system to recommend optimal support, products, or opportunities to members in branch.
  • Developed predictive models to estimate the probability of loan default.
  • Generated internal reports for finance and human-resources departments.
IT Analyst Intern
Marine Credit Union
Aug 2023 – Dec 2023
  • Implemented and tested internal password-security protocols using hashing algorithms.
  • Served on the technology committee evaluating and replacing physical security systems.
Get in Touch

Let’s work together.

Whether you’re a researcher looking to collaborate, a team with a hard data problem, or you just want to talk statistics — I’d love to hear from you.